New poll shows majority of Arizona voters support border measure
Polled voters are split on measures involving emergency declarations and ending term limits for judges.
PHOENIX (AZFamily) — A new nonpartisan poll points to a majority of Arizona voters supporting a measure that would reform the state’s immigration system, while voters are split on other measures.
The poll from Noble Predictive Insights found almost two-thirds of voters supported Proposition 314, or the Immigration and Border Law Enforcement Measure, but they’re overall less supportive of Proposition 135, which limits executive emergency powers, and Proposition 137, which would eliminate judicial terms limits.
The Noble poll was conducted from Aug. 12 to 16 and surveyed 1,003 registered Arizona voters.
For Prop 314, 63% of polled voters said they would support it, 16% said they would not support it, 6% said they would abstain from voting on the measure, and the other 16% were unsure.
The measure garnered support on both sides of the political aisle, but it clearly received more support from conservative voters, with 77% of Republicans and 81% of Trump-first Republicans in support of it. Normally liberal groups were also mostly in support of the measure, with 58% of college and post-graduates, 56% of Hispanics and 52% of Democrats saying they support it.
Two aspects of Prop 314 received the most support: holding drug dealers responsible for the death of a person who consumes a drug containing fentanyl (77% in support) and requiring employers to verify the immigration status of workers (75% in support).
“Opponents will have trouble pushing the argument ‘people are only supporting this because of the fentanyl stuff, they don’t care about the immigration’ – that’s what voters like most about Prop 314,” said Mike Noble, NPI Founder & CEO. “Prop 314 is popular across party lines, and that is a difficult trend to disrupt with only a couple of months until Election Day.”
The support for Prop 314 does not carry over to the other measures.
Voters are split on Prop 135, which would give the state legislature the power to terminate or alter emergency powers held by the governor during a state of emergency and automatically terminate any state of emergency after 30 days in all cases besides a war emergency, floods or fires. About one-third of each supporting, opposing and unsure about this measure, and the support generally follows party lines.
“Many conservatives haven’t forgotten COVID,” said NPI Chief of Research David Byler. “Memories of lockdowns – combined with a Democrat in the governor’s mansion – make sense of the partisan divide we see on this issue.”
For Prop 137, 31% of voters were in support of replacing term limits for Supreme Court and Superior Court justices with terms of good behavior, while 38% opposed it and 8% abstained. About 25% were unsure. The partisan divide on this issue was not as clear as Prop 135.
“While about 1 in 10 voters say they wouldn’t vote on Prop 135 or 137, the large shares of voters who are still unsure how they will vote on each measure will determine whether or not these measures pass come November,” said Mike Noble, NPI Founder & CEO.
See a spelling or grammatical error in our story? Please click here to report it.
Do you have a photo or video of a breaking news story? Send it to us here with a brief description.
Copyright 2024 KTVK/KPHO. All rights reserved.
